Soccer > England Premier League
Leeds - Aston Villa
Pick: Leeds AH0 (+105) Draw is a Push

Leeds is a much better team then odds suggest. Especially at home stadium Elland Road remains a fortress cos Leeds has lost only one of their five home league matches this season.

This is completely opposite at their opponents, as Aston Villa has managed to win only one of their five away games. Already this offers a big advantage to the home team.

The story gets even better when we look at some game stats. Leeds consistently creates significantly better and clearer goal-scoring opportunities then Aston Villa (as xG coefficient suggests). Also Leeds is a team that doesn't allow opponents to create a lot of chances. They play with incredible aggression and lead the league in Pressure Applied, what will limit Villa's ability to create chances. With all that, I like Leeds in this match.

Duke - 6 1/2
Injuries on both sides but duke had the better talent. North Carolina had some offensive line and tight end depth might be thin. The bottom line is that Duke needs this to become bowl eligible so look for an all-out effort

Trevor Lawrence under 214.5 Passing Yards -115

Lawrence has only gone under this number in four of the 10 games, but the last two weeks have been two of those games. He also would have gone under in Week 9 against the Raiders without overtime. Since Week 7, the Jags are third in Rush EPA and second in Rush Success Rate.

Baltimore-13.5 -108

Obviously the rule is not to bet on a double digit favorite in the NFL, but the Jets have lost all of their playmakers on defense, Baltimore’s defense on the other hand is getting healthy and have done well the last 3 weeks.. Tyrod is a better passer than field, but he can’t run as well as Field. I expect Henry and Lamar to do whatever they desire tomorrow. I am betting them 1st quarter, 1st half, and the whole game, but for the site purposes, -13.5 for the game. Good luck

Lions - 13

Lions 11 in a row ATS after a str-up loss.

lakers -9.5

The Jazz have lost each of their last 10 night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Lakers have won each of their last eight Sunday night games against Northwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
The Lakers have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
The Jazz have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 night games against teams that held a winning record

Seattle Seahawks -12.5
Titans shouldn't have much of a passing game with the offense down several receivers
Titans shouldn't be able to run against the Seattle defense ranked fifth in yards per rush allowed
Titans own the 3rd worst defense in the NFL
Seahawks own the 3rd best offense in the NFL
Seahawks average 29.4 points per game good for 3rd in the league
Seahawks are 4-1 in their last 5 games

Seahawks -12.5

Seattle is coming in off bad loss. Darnold looked rough. 4 interceptions. Yet they still covered. I just do't see how the Titans can do much against the Seattle D. I'd look for an earlier play on 1Q or 1H but I would still go full game with this...

NY Islanders -165 (NHL)

Seattle is 3-18 last 3 years when playing back to back days.

LA RAMS -7
Matthew Stafford averaged a season-low 4.6 yppp last week against the Seahawks, but he has a great opportunity to get right here against a banged-up Buccaneers defense.The Buccaneers are surrendering 45% more yards per attempt against play action compared to standard dropbacks (31st), and they will struggle as the Rams have a league-high 36% play action rate.

Detroit -13. Campbell will have lions focused after last weeks loss. Still top tier team in NFC, looking to regain momentum

Bucs/Rams over 49.5....Tampa pass defense is horrid look for Rams passing game to
click all day! Also,Mayfield should have success against Rams secondary go over!

Amon-Ra St Brown o 79.5 rec yds -112…last 2 games been rough for St Brown looking for Lions and St Brown to break out today…no LaPorta helps out

Kelce O 5.5 receptions

Love kelce in this spot. Fighting for playoff, at home, against a team that doesn't cover TEs well anyway. Mahomes may need time to stretch the field first but this is my largest player prop today.

Detroit Team Total Over 30.
Giant Def is non existant. Detroit off two bad offensive showings will bust out here at home. 5 TDs in 3 quarters as Campbell off a loss is 13-0

Seahawks -12

Pretty square play but you have a superior offense playing a weak defense. Also the Seattle defense is pretty good who should give Cam fits. The last time the Seahawks lost they came back the next week on the road and took care of Jacksonville. I think the Seahawks roll by 20.

Seattle -12.5

Seahawks travel to Nashville to play Tennessee. They had their first road loss of the year at LA last week. They had 164 more yards and 14 more first downs but were -3 in turnovers. Hawks average 29 points a game and give up 19 a game. Tennessee is 1-9 on the year. They score just 14 a game and give up 27. Seattle will get ahead early and make Tennessee make mistakes and win this by 20 plus.

Back after extended time off! Missed this place too much to stay away. All these years with Freak and I just keep coming back.
Today Chiefs are playing for their playoff lives and all that hype that goes with that. Normally I would fade the hell out of them because of all that mess but today outdoors with a dome team, Arrowhead rocking and Danny starting to remember who he is, I'm on the Chiefs -3 -120

Baltimore -13

Baltimore is 6-1 Straight up and 5-2 ATS against the Jets the last 7 games played.