MNF and More!

Rider + 32.5

I made the number 30.5, & I trust my numbers against the odds-makers any day & twice on Sundays. EV is the key to success.

The Raiders + 14.5 got there for us yesterday, almost pulling off a massive upset. That makes my posts here on this forum still running HOT. 22 out of the last 26 posts were in the green. Obviously, to go on these kinds of hot streaks, you need to be a little lucky as well. I always thought that handicapping was 70% skill and 30% luck. Let's see if we can keep that luck going tonight & cash another ticket. Please like this post if you find my posts helpful in your handicapping. That would be much appreciated.

San Francisco -6
Brock Purdy is averaging 0.27 EPA/play (3rd), and he has a favorable matchup in this game against a banged-up Colts’ defense.Rivers had a 4.7-yard average depth of target in his first start. For reference, the league low for air yards.

I'm not sure if we are supposed to post prop picks, but looking at the game tonight there is one that stands out. Tyler Warren has had an outstanding season for Indy and it should be another great game tonight. San Fran not good at all vs TE, Warren led team in targets last week with Rivers and in my opinion the line is too low. Over 36.5 yards and over 4 receptions are what i am playing tonight.

Please provide a reason for your pick. Saying that you made the number XXX is not enough of a reason. Why did you make the number that? What about the actual pick?

Feel free to post any play and provide the reason. Prop plays are always fun. Thank you for posting.

Vancouver +115

Canucks have been playing some good hockey recently. They are 4-0 on this road trip. Flyers finished a four game road trip going 1-3. They are 1-5 in their last six games. Going to take the hit team versus the cold team while plus money.

Utah State Aggies -1.5
Utah State is 10-2 against the spread this year
Utah State QB Barnes is playing today and has started for the Aggies all season
Utah State offense averaging 6.34 yards per play while the Cougars only gain 4.96 yards per play
Washington state ranks No. 122 in total offense
Washington State has lost at least nine players to the transfer portal
Washington State head coach Jimmy Rogers has left the program

Dallas over 241.5 The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 6 games.

Phil Flyers -130

I know Vanc has been playing good hockey but this is tough spot for them playing 3rd game in 4 nites vs a team who is good at home Take the Flyers

UT St U50.5..two dog shit team and bowl games clipping heavy % towards under..this one should be another bore fest and low scoring...GLA!

Utah State -1. I don't love this bowl game, but I do think Utah State has an edge. Bronco Mendenhall was an excellent coach at BYU for many years and his position is stable at Utah State. Washington State has coaching chaos a first time head coach, who is leaving the program after this game. Utah State is building for next year. Utah State also has the superior quarterback. They have the edge in a basically pickEm game.

SF Under 46.5

Colts are anemic with Rivers. SF will pound Mccafrey running and on the turf inside he will excel. Purdy does just enough to bury Colts playoff hopes.
24-10 SF

SF-6. Defense will be coming for Rivers, who lacks the mobility he once had. Expect him to take a lot of hits, and SF to pull away in second half

2* Tampa -250 (H) 607pm (3-way -150 to lower juice)

Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against St. Louis.
Tampa Bay is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the Western Conference.
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against Tampa Bay.
St. Louis is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference.
St. Louis is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road.

Charlotte +9.5 -111

The Hornet’s are 4-2 ATS the last 6 games and 5-2 ATS the last 7 against the Cavaliers. Cleveland is 0-5 the last 5 ATS. Good luck

LSU/Prairie View over 160

LSU is an offensive machine, ranking in the top 20 in the nation in points per possession. Prairie View plays an up tempo game and is aggressive defensively, forcing turnovers. However PV is a bad defensive rebounding team allowing opposing offenses to grab their own offensive rebound over 35% of the time.

Brock Purdy o248.5 passing yds…-110…Purdy off if 295 passing yds now faces Colts 30th in league vs pass..Colts can stop run 4th in league vs run..looking for big passing game from Purdy

Colts +6
SF defense isn’t good and they are banged up.
Think colts keep this one close. Take the points.