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 3/21 Statistical Advantages
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Winnipeg VS Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 10 games. Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games. Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Pittsburgh. Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games. Pittsburgh is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games against Winnipeg. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home.
Vegas VS Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vegas' last 7 games. Vegas is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas' last 5 games on the road. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas' last 5 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Nashville's last 12 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 7 games against Vegas. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Nashville's last 10 games at home. The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Nashville's last 20 games played in March.
Buffalo VS Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games. Buffalo is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games. Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Los Angeles. Buffalo is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games on the road. Los Angeles is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles' last 11 games against Buffalo. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles' last 9 games at home. Los Angeles is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Buffalo.
Philadelphia VS San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 15 games. Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against San Jose. Philadelphia is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games on the road. San Jose is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games against Philadelphia. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games at home. San Jose is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
Dallas VS Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas' last 9 games. Dallas is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games. Dallas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games against Minnesota. Dallas is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games on the road. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games. Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games. The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Minnesota's last 18 games against Dallas. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home.
Seattle VS Columbus
Seattle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games. Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Columbus. Seattle is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference. Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. Columbus is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home. Columbus is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus' last 5 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division division.
St. Louis VS Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Louis' last 10 games. St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games. St. Louis is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games against Vancouver. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis' last 7 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games. Vancouver is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vancouver's last 6 games against St. Louis. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games at home.
New York VS Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders' last 6 games. NY Islanders is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games. NY Islanders is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Montreal. The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Islanders' last 13 games on the road. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Montreal's last 9 games against NY Islanders. Montreal is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders.
Toronto VS Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games. Toronto is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games. Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games. Ottawa is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games against Toronto. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home.
Boston VS Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 12 games. Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Detroit. Boston is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road. Boston is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit. The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 14 games. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games against Boston. Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home. Detroit is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Boston.
Tampa Bay VS Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games. Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Edmonton. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road. Tampa Bay is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Edmonton. Edmonton is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay. Edmonton is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games played on a Saturday. The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton's last 11 games when playing as the underdog.
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Saint Louis VS Michigan
Saint Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games. The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Saint Louis' last 18 games. Saint Louis is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games. Saint Louis is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference. Michigan is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Michigan's last 9 games. Michigan is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games. Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Atlantic 10 conference.
Louisville VS Michigan State
Louisville is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games. Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. Louisville is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against Michigan State. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville's last 6 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference. Michigan State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games. The total has gone OVER in 11 of Michigan State's last 13 games. Michigan State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games. Michigan State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
TCU VS Duke
TCU is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of TCU's last 9 games. TCU is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games. TCU is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference. Duke is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Duke's last 16 games. Duke is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games. Duke is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
Texas A&M VS Houston
Texas A&M is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games against Houston. Texas A&M is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference. The total has gone OVER in 14 of Texas A&M's last 17 games played in March. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 6 games played on a Saturday. Houston is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 15 games. Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Dayton VS UNC Wilmington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dayton's last 9 games. Dayton is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games. Dayton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road. Dayton is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Coastal Athletic conference. UNC Wilmington is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games. UNC Wilmington is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games. UNC Wilmington is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home. UNC Wilmington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the Atlantic 10 conference.
Texas VS Gonzaga
Texas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas' last 7 games. Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Gonzaga. Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Gonzaga. Gonzaga is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games. The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Gonzaga's last 7 games. Gonzaga is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games. Gonzaga is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
VCU VS Illinois
VCU is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of VCU's last 6 games. VCU is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games. VCU is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference. Illinois is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois' last 7 games. Illinois is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games. Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic 10 conference.
Vanderbilt VS Nebraska
Vanderbilt is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games. Vanderbilt is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference. Vanderbilt is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games played in March. Vanderbilt is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games played on a Saturday. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 6 games. Nebraska is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference. Nebraska is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games played in March.
Liberty VS Nevada
Liberty is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Liberty's last 5 games. Liberty is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games. Liberty is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road. Nevada is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nevada's last 7 games. Nevada is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. Nevada is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games at home.
High Point VS Arkansas
High Point is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games. The total has gone OVER in 12 of High Point's last 17 games. High Point is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games. High Point is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference. Arkansas is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games. The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arkansas' last 10 games. Arkansas is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games. Arkansas is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Big South conference.
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 Re: 3/21 Statistical Advantages
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Oklahoma City VS Washington
Oklahoma City is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games. The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games. Oklahoma City is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games. Oklahoma City is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games against Washington. Washington is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games. The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games. Washington is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games. The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 8 games against Oklahoma City.
Memphis VS Charlotte
Memphis is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis' last 5 games. Memphis is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games. Memphis is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games against Charlotte. Charlotte is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games. Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games against Memphis. Charlotte is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home.
Los Angeles VS Orlando
LA Lakers is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games. The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers' last 5 games. LA Lakers is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games. LA Lakers is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games against Orlando. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games. Orlando is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games against LA Lakers. Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Cleveland VS New Orleans
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games. Cleveland is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games. Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games against New Orleans. New Orleans is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans' last 5 games. New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans' last 6 games against Cleveland.
Golden State VS Atlanta
Golden State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games. Golden State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games. Golden State is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games against Atlanta. Atlanta is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games. The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 15 games. Atlanta is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games against Golden State.
Indiana VS San Antonio
Indiana is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games. Indiana is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games. Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against San Antonio. San Antonio is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games. San Antonio is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games. San Antonio is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home. San Antonio is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana.
Miami VS Houston
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games. Miami is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games. Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games against Houston. Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games against Miami. The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Houston's last 20 games at home.
Los Angeles VS Dallas
LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers' last 5 games. LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games. LA Clippers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Dallas. Dallas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games. The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas' last 12 games. Dallas is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games. The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Dallas' last 20 games against LA Clippers.
Philadelphia VS Utah
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games. Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Utah. Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against Utah. Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games. Utah is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games. Utah is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home. Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.
Milwaukee VS Phoenix
Milwaukee is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games. Milwaukee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games. Milwaukee is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games against Phoenix. Milwaukee is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games against Phoenix. Phoenix is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games. Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games. Phoenix is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home.
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Top Head-to-Head Trends for the Second Round
There are only three second-round games with any recent relevance in terms of head-to-head history:
(783) TEXAS A&M vs. (784) HOUSTON * TEXAS A&M has gone 5-0 ATS versus Houston, since 2004, most recent meeting was in 2024 NCAAT, a 100-95 Houston (-8.5) win
(787) TEXAS vs. (788) GONZAGA * Favorites and Over the total are both 4-0 ATS in the last four games of the Texas-Gonzaga head-to-head series
(815) TENNESSEE vs. (816) VIRGINIA * Favorites have swept the last four games SU and ATS in the Tennessee-Virginia set
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• Bettors have not enjoyed a winning second round since 2017, going 29-53-1 ATS (35.4%) in moving opening lines since then. This is a change from the first round, explained perhaps in the shorter prep period for the second round. They were 2-8 ATS in 2025. The strategy…watch the consensus line sentiment and go against it. Qualifying Games for 2026 NCAAT Second Round: Early line moves indicate public is backing (go AGAINST) Saint Louis, TCU, Houston, Gonzaga, Illinois, High Point, Miami, Kentucky, Iowa, Utah State, Connecticut, Alabama
• Second round Top 4 seeds that won but didn’t cover the spread in the first round are 48-17 SU and 36-28-1 ATS (56.3%) since 2013. They are also 35-27-3 Under (56.5%) the total. Qualifying Games for 2026 NCAAT Second Round: Duke, Kansas, Connecticut, Michigan, Virginia
• Second round double-digit favorites are 53-2 SU and 35-20 ATS (63.6%) since 2001. Sixteen of the last 26 such games went Under (61.5%) the total with the favorites allowing just 61.2 PPG. Qualifying Games for 2026 NCAAT Second Round: Michigan, Duke, Illinois, Houston, Arkansas, Florida, Arizona
• Second round worse-seeded teams playing as favorites have been wildly successful, 15-7 SU and ATS (68.2%) since 2002. Qualifying Games for 2026 NCAAT Second Round: Vanderbilt, Tennessee, St John’s
• There has been a crazy trend that has developed in the second round lately with favorites in the tight -5.5 to -6.5 line range, as they boast a 55-13 SU and 46-22 ATS (67.6%) record since 1998. Qualifying Games for 2026 NCAAT Second Round: Gonzaga
• The highest-totaled second round games haven’t necessarily seen the most scoring, and in fact, these games with totals of 156 or more are on a 13-6 Under the total (68.4%) run. Qualifying Games for 2026 NCAAT Second Round: UNDER the total in Saint Louis-Michigan, High Point-Arkansas, Texas Tech-Alabama
• In second-round games featuring a mid-major team playing as a worse seed to a power conference team, the power conference teams are on a 63-11 SU and 46-27-1 ATS (63%) surge since 2013. In the opposite scenario, when the mid-major is the better-seeded team, they are on a 16-3 SU and 11-8 ATS (57.9%) run. Qualifying Games for 2026 NCAAT Second Round: On these Power 5 teams: Michigan, Illinois, Arkansas, Arizona. On these mid-major teams: Gonzaga
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Top Daily Head-to-Head Series NBA Betting Trends
(501) OKLAHOMA CITY at (502) WASHINGTON * Over the total has converted in all eight matchups between OKC and WSH since the start of 2022 Trend Match (PLAY OVER): OKC-WSH (o/u at 231.5)
* OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-2 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games with Washington as well Trend Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-20.5 at WSH)
(503) MEMPHIS at (504) CHARLOTTE * Favorites are 7-1 SU and ATS in the last eight of the MEM-CHA non-conference set Trend Match (PLAY): CHARLOTTE (-17.5 vs MEM)
(505) LA LAKERS at (506) ORLANDO * Underdogs are 9-8 SU and 14-3 ATS in the LAL-ORL cross-country series since the start of 2018 Trend Match (PLAY): ORLANDO (+2.5 vs LAL)
(507) CLEVELAND at (508) NEW ORLEANS * CLEVELAND is 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven matchups with New Orleans Trend Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (-4.5 at NOP)
(509) MIAMI at (510) HOUSTON * MIAMI is on an extended 15-3-1 ATS run in their last 19 games with Houston Trend Match (PLAY): MIAMI (+1.5 at HOU)
(511) INDIANA at (512) SAN ANTONIO * SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings with Indiana Trend Match (PLAY): SAN ANTONIO (-18.5 vs IND)
(513) GOLDEN STATE at (514) ATLANTA * ATLANTA has won and covered the last six times Golden State has come to town Trend Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (-10.5 vs GSW)
(515) LA CLIPPERS at (516) DALLAS * Favorites are 7-1 SU and ATS in the last seven of the Clippers-Mavs series in Dallas Trend Match (PLAY): LA CLIPPERS (-6.5 at DAL)
(517) PHILADELPHIA at (518) UTAH * Underdogs are on a 2-4 SU but 6-0 ATS surge in the PHI-UTA non-conference set Trend Match (PLAY): UTAH (+6.5 vs PHI)
(519) MILWAUKEE at (520) PHOENIX * Favorites are 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS in the last 15 of the Bucks-Suns series Trend Match (PLAY): PHOENIX (-11.5 vs MIL)
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2025-26 College basketball NCAA Tournament Saturday’s games Michigan (-12.5) vs Saint Louis (@ Buffalo) Michigan (32-3) Wolverines won 18 of their last 20 games. Last three years, #1-seeds are 7-4 ATS in 2nd round games. Michigan has #7 eFG% in country, #3 eFG% defense.
Wolverines played 8 guys Thursday, none more than 27:00. Michigan is 16-3 vs teams ranked in top 50. Michigan is 11-0 in non-conference games.
KenPom rating: 3 Tempo: 22 Experience: 47 Continuity: 116
Michigan is in NCAA’s for 8th time in 10 years; they made Sweet 16 last year. Dusty May got Florida Atlantic to the Final Four in 2023
Saint Louis (29-5) Billikens are 5-4 in last nine games (scored less than 70 in last 3 losses) No Billikens played more than 28:00 in Thursday’s win. Saint Louis has #2 eFG% and #1 eFG% defense.
Saint Louis is 13-1 in non-conference games. Billikens are 7-2 vs teams in the top 100 Billikens are shooting 59.6% inside arc (#12)
KenPom rating: 32 Tempo: 19 Experience: 32 Continuity: 173
Saint Louis is in the NCAA’s for first time since 2019.
Michigan State (-4.5) vs Louisville (@ Buffalo) Michigan State (26-7) Michigan State is 11-1 in non-conference games. In their last three losses, Spartans allowed 92-90-88 points. Michigan State is best rebounding team in country.
Michigan State had stress-free win Thursday (up 20 at half) Spartans are 10-6 vs teams in the top 50. Last three years, #3-seeds are 0-6 ATS vs #6-seeds in second round.
KenPom rating: 9 Tempo: 238 Experience: 197 Continuity: 51
Last four years, Spartans are 2-2 SU in second round games.
Louisville (24-10) Cardinals won four of their last five games. Louisville played three guys 30:00+ in Thursday’s win Check status on Louisville star Mikel Brown (missed last five games).
Cardinals shot 13-25 on arc vs USF Thursday; they have #13 eFG%. Louisville is 9-9 vs teams ranked in top 50. Louisville is 11-2 in non-conference games.
KenPom rating: 20 Tempo: 58 Experience: 16 Continuity: 183
Louisville made NCAA’s LY, for first time since 2019; their last tourney win was in 2017.
Duke (-11.5) vs TCU (@ Greenville, SC) Duke (33-2) Blue Devils won their last 12 games. Duke was down 13 to Siena Thursday; lackluster effort. Four Duke starters played 32+ minutes.
Duke has #19 eFG%, #12 eFG% defense in the country. Duke is 14-2 vs teams ranked in top 50. Blue Devils are shooting 60.8% inside arc (#8)
KenPom rating: 2 Tempo: 287 Experience: 310 Continuity: 169
Scheyer is 2-1 SU/ATS in second round games.
TCU (23-11) Horned Frogs won 10 of their last 12 games. TCU played two guys more than 29:00 in Thursday’s win. TCU is 11-3 in non-conference games.
Horned Frogs force turnovers 19.4% of time (#35) TCU is 8-6 vs teams in the top 50 Last three years, #1-seeds are 7-4 ATS in 2nd round games.
KenPom rating: 43 Tempo: 171 Experience: 100 Continuity: 191
Last 30 years, TCU is 0-2 in second round games. In his career, Dixon is 3-7 in second round games.
Houston (-10.5) vs Texas A&M (@ Oklahoma City) Houston (29-6) Cougars won six of their last seven games. Houston had easy win Thursday, beating Idaho by 31. Houston is 13-1 in non-conference games (lost to Tennessee by 3)
Cougars force turnovers 20.8% of time (#12) Last two years, #2-seeds are 6-2 ATS in second round. Houston is 10-6 vs top 50 teams.
KenPom rating: 5 Tempo: 350 Experience: 92 Continuity: 44
Houston has made it to at least Sweet 16 in last six tournaments.
Texas A&M (22-11) Aggies are 5-3 in their last eight games. Only one Aggie played 25:00+ in Thursday’s win Aggies are 7-8 vs teams in the top 50
A&M is 11-3 in non-conference games. Aggies are shooting 36.2% on arc (#52) 37% of their points come on 3’s (#49)
KenPom rating: 34 Tempo: 39 Experience: 8 Continuity: 340
Texas A&M is in the NCAA’s for 4th year in row. Houston beat Texas A&M 70-66 in pre-conference game two years ago.
Gonzaga (-6.5) vs Texas (@ Portland, OR) Gonzaga (31-3) Zags won nine of their last ten games. Gonzaga played three starters 34:00+ in Thursday’s 73-64 win. Gonzaga is 13-1 in non-conference games (lost by 40 to Michigan)
Gonzaga has #24 eFG% and #10 eFG% defense. Zags are 7-2 vs teams ranked in top 50. Last three years, #3-seeds are 4-0 ATS vs #11-seeds in second round.
KenPom rating: 12 Tempo: 114 Experience: 6 Continuity: 167
Gonzaga won six of last seven second round games.
Texas (20-14) Texas won Tuesday in Dayton, here in Portland Thursday. Longhorns played four starters 32:00+ Thursday. Texas gets 24.1% of their points on foul line (#20)
Texas is 11-4 in non-conference games. Longhorns are 8-11 vs teams in the top 50 Sixth year in row in NCAA’s for Texas (6-5)
KenPom rating: 33 Tempo: 212 Experience: 4 Continuity: 123
Sixth year in row in NCAA’s for Texas (6-5)
Illinois (-11.5) vs VCU (@ Greenville, SC) Illinois (24-8) Illinois is 5-5 in its last ten games (4/5 losses in OT). Illini is the tallest team in the country. Illini is 7-8 vs teams ranked in top 50 (1-5 last six).
Illinois is 10-2 in non-conference games. 50.6% of Illinois’ shots are 3’s (#13) 38.9% of their points come on 3’s (#25) Illini is shooting 34.9% on arc (#127)
KenPom rating: 7 Tempo: 276 Experience: 130 Continuity: 70
In Underwood era, Illinois is 1-3 in second round games.
VCU (28-7) VCU won seven in a row, 17 of last 18 games. VCU was down 19 Thursday, rallied to beat North Carolina. Rams played five guys 31:00+ Thursday.
VCU is 10-4 in non-conference games. Rams are 2-5 vs teams in the top 50 VCU is shooting 36.9% on arc (#31); 43.6% of their shots are 3’s
KenPom rating: 42 Tempo: 117 Experience: 134 Continuity: 237
VCU is in second round for first time since 2016.
Vanderbilt (-1.5) vs Nebraska (@ Oklahoma City) Vanderbilt (27-8) Vanderbilt won five of its last six games. Commodores played 7 guys (four of them 32:00+) in Thursday’s 78-68 win Vandy was down 11 points early, outscored McNeese 40-33 in 2nd half
Vandy has #32 eFG% in the country. Commodores are 10-8 vs teams ranked in top 50. Vandy gets 21.5% of its points on foul line (#88)
KenPom rating: 11 Tempo: 101 Experience: 18 Continuity: 95
Vandy hasn’t been in the Sweet 16 since 2007.
Nebraska (27-6) Nebraska is 5-2 in its last seven games. Cornhuskers had easy win Thursday, beating Troy 76-47 Nebraska is 12-0 in non-conference games.
51.1% of Nebraska’s shots are 3-pointers (#9). Nebraska gets 41.3% of its points on 3’s (#12) Last three years, underdogs are 4-2 ATS #4-5 seed games in 2nd round.
KenPom rating: 13 Tempo: 224 Experience: 27 Continuity: 165
Thursday was Nebraska’s first-ever win (1-8) in an NCAA Tournament game.
Arkansas (-11.5) vs High Point (@ Portland, OR) Arkansas (27-8) Razorbacks won their last six games (two in overtime). Arkansas played six guys Thursday in stress-free, 97-78 win Razorbacks won SEC tournament Sunday afternoon.
Arkansas is 10-3 in non-league games (all 3 losses to top 10 teams) Razorbacks are 16-0 vs teams ranked outside top 50. Arkansas has #17 eFG% in country.
KenPom rating: 16 Tempo: 20 Experience: 140 Continuity: 90
Since 2021, Arkansas has two Sweet 16’s/two Elite 8’s.
High Point (31-4) High Point has won its last 15 games. Panthers were down 8 with 5:23 left Thursday, upset Wisconsin, 83-82. High Point played four guys 30:00+ Thursday.
High Point’s losses were by 17-2-8-17 points. Panthers force turnovers 21.7% of the time (#5) Since 2017, #12-seeds are 0-9 SU/3-6 ATS in second round. Heard that High Point’s NIL payroll is $4M, funded by one guy.
KenPom rating: 88 Tempo: 44 Experience: 36 Continuity: 260
High Point was in NCAA’s last year; they lost 75-63 to Purdue, as a 13-seed.
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