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3/21 Statistical Advantages
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Re: 3/21 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #942749 03/21/26 05:06 AM
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Winnipeg VS Pittsburgh

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 10 games.
Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against Pittsburgh.
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games.
Pittsburgh is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games against Winnipeg.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home.


Vegas VS Nashville

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vegas' last 7 games.
Vegas is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas' last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas' last 5 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Nashville's last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 7 games against Vegas.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Nashville's last 10 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Nashville's last 20 games played in March.


Buffalo VS Los Angeles

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games.
Buffalo is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games.
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Los Angeles.
Buffalo is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
Los Angeles is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles' last 11 games against Buffalo.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles' last 9 games at home.
Los Angeles is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Buffalo.


Philadelphia VS San Jose

The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 15 games.
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against San Jose.
Philadelphia is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
San Jose is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games against Philadelphia.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games at home.
San Jose is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.


Dallas VS Minnesota

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas' last 9 games.
Dallas is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games.
Dallas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games against Minnesota.
Dallas is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games.
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Minnesota's last 18 games against Dallas.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home.


Seattle VS Columbus

Seattle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Columbus.
Seattle is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Columbus is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home.
Columbus is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus' last 5 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division division.


St. Louis VS Vancouver

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Louis' last 10 games.
St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
St. Louis is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games against Vancouver.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis' last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games.
Vancouver is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vancouver's last 6 games against St. Louis.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games at home.


New York VS Montreal

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders' last 6 games.
NY Islanders is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games.
NY Islanders is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Montreal.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Islanders' last 13 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Montreal's last 9 games against NY Islanders.
Montreal is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders.


Toronto VS Ottawa

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games.
Toronto is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games.
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games.
Ottawa is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games against Toronto.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home.


Boston VS Detroit

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 12 games.
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games against Detroit.
Boston is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road.
Boston is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 14 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games against Boston.
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home.
Detroit is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Boston.


Tampa Bay VS Edmonton

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games.
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Edmonton.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road.
Tampa Bay is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Edmonton.
Edmonton is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay.
Edmonton is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games played on a Saturday.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton's last 11 games when playing as the underdog.


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Re: 3/21 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #942750 03/21/26 05:07 AM
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Saint Louis VS Michigan

Saint Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Saint Louis' last 18 games.
Saint Louis is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games.
Saint Louis is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Michigan is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Michigan's last 9 games.
Michigan is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games.
Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Atlantic 10 conference.


Louisville VS Michigan State

Louisville is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Louisville is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against Michigan State.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville's last 6 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Michigan State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Michigan State's last 13 games.
Michigan State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
Michigan State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.


TCU VS Duke

TCU is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of TCU's last 9 games.
TCU is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
TCU is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
Duke is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Duke's last 16 games.
Duke is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
Duke is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.


Texas A&M VS Houston

Texas A&M is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games against Houston.
Texas A&M is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Texas A&M's last 17 games played in March.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 6 games played on a Saturday.
Houston is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 15 games.
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.


Dayton VS UNC Wilmington

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dayton's last 9 games.
Dayton is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games.
Dayton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
Dayton is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Coastal Athletic conference.
UNC Wilmington is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games.
UNC Wilmington is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games.
UNC Wilmington is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home.
UNC Wilmington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the Atlantic 10 conference.


Texas VS Gonzaga

Texas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas' last 7 games.
Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Gonzaga.
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Gonzaga.
Gonzaga is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Gonzaga's last 7 games.
Gonzaga is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games.
Gonzaga is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.


VCU VS Illinois

VCU is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of VCU's last 6 games.
VCU is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games.
VCU is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Illinois is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois' last 7 games.
Illinois is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic 10 conference.


Vanderbilt VS Nebraska

Vanderbilt is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Vanderbilt is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Big Ten conference.
Vanderbilt is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games played in March.
Vanderbilt is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games played on a Saturday.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska's last 6 games.
Nebraska is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Nebraska is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games played in March.


Liberty VS Nevada

Liberty is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Liberty's last 5 games.
Liberty is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games.
Liberty is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road.
Nevada is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nevada's last 7 games.
Nevada is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Nevada is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games at home.


High Point VS Arkansas

High Point is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of High Point's last 17 games.
High Point is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
High Point is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Arkansas is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arkansas' last 10 games.
Arkansas is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
Arkansas is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Big South conference.


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Re: 3/21 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #942751 03/21/26 05:07 AM
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Oklahoma City VS Washington

Oklahoma City is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games.
Oklahoma City is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
Oklahoma City is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games against Washington.
Washington is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games.
Washington is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 8 games against Oklahoma City.


Memphis VS Charlotte

Memphis is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis' last 5 games.
Memphis is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games.
Memphis is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games against Charlotte.
Charlotte is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games against Memphis.
Charlotte is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home.


Los Angeles VS Orlando

LA Lakers is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers' last 5 games.
LA Lakers is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games.
LA Lakers is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games against Orlando.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games.
Orlando is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games against LA Lakers.
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.


Cleveland VS New Orleans

Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games.
Cleveland is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games.
Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games against New Orleans.
New Orleans is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans' last 5 games.
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans' last 6 games against Cleveland.


Golden State VS Atlanta

Golden State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games.
Golden State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
Golden State is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games against Atlanta.
Atlanta is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 15 games.
Atlanta is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games against Golden State.


Indiana VS San Antonio

Indiana is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games.
Indiana is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games.
Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against San Antonio.
San Antonio is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games.
San Antonio is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games.
San Antonio is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home.
San Antonio is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana.


Miami VS Houston

Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games.
Miami is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games against Houston.
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Houston's last 20 games at home.


Los Angeles VS Dallas

LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers' last 5 games.
LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
LA Clippers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Dallas.
Dallas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas' last 12 games.
Dallas is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Dallas' last 20 games against LA Clippers.


Philadelphia VS Utah

Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Utah.
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against Utah.
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games.
Utah is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games.
Utah is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home.
Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.


Milwaukee VS Phoenix

Milwaukee is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games.
Milwaukee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
Milwaukee is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games against Phoenix.
Milwaukee is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games against Phoenix.
Phoenix is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games.
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Phoenix is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home.


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Re: 3/21 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #942822 03/21/26 04:00 PM
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Top Head-to-Head Trends for the Second Round

There are only three second-round games with any recent relevance in terms of head-to-head history:

(783) TEXAS A&M vs. (784) HOUSTON
* TEXAS A&M has gone 5-0 ATS versus Houston, since 2004, most recent meeting was in 2024 NCAAT, a 100-95 Houston (-8.5) win

(787) TEXAS vs. (788) GONZAGA
* Favorites and Over the total are both 4-0 ATS in the last four games of the Texas-Gonzaga head-to-head series

(815) TENNESSEE vs. (816) VIRGINIA
* Favorites have swept the last four games SU and ATS in the Tennessee-Virginia set

Re: 3/21 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #942824 03/21/26 04:02 PM
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• Bettors have not enjoyed a winning second round since 2017, going 29-53-1 ATS (35.4%) in moving opening lines since then. This is a change from the first round, explained perhaps in the shorter prep period for the second round. They were 2-8 ATS in 2025. The strategy…watch the consensus line sentiment and go against it.
Qualifying Games for 2026 NCAAT Second Round: Early line moves indicate public is backing (go AGAINST) Saint Louis, TCU, Houston, Gonzaga, Illinois, High Point, Miami, Kentucky, Iowa, Utah State, Connecticut, Alabama

• Second round Top 4 seeds that won but didn’t cover the spread in the first round are 48-17 SU and 36-28-1 ATS (56.3%) since 2013. They are also 35-27-3 Under (56.5%) the total.
Qualifying Games for 2026 NCAAT Second Round: Duke, Kansas, Connecticut, Michigan, Virginia

• Second round double-digit favorites are 53-2 SU and 35-20 ATS (63.6%) since 2001. Sixteen of the last 26 such games went Under (61.5%) the total with the favorites allowing just 61.2 PPG.
Qualifying Games for 2026 NCAAT Second Round: Michigan, Duke, Illinois, Houston, Arkansas, Florida, Arizona

• Second round worse-seeded teams playing as favorites have been wildly successful, 15-7 SU and ATS (68.2%) since 2002.
Qualifying Games for 2026 NCAAT Second Round: Vanderbilt, Tennessee, St John’s

• There has been a crazy trend that has developed in the second round lately with favorites in the tight -5.5 to -6.5 line range, as they boast a 55-13 SU and 46-22 ATS (67.6%) record since 1998.
Qualifying Games for 2026 NCAAT Second Round: Gonzaga

• The highest-totaled second round games haven’t necessarily seen the most scoring, and in fact, these games with totals of 156 or more are on a 13-6 Under the total (68.4%) run.
Qualifying Games for 2026 NCAAT Second Round: UNDER the total in Saint Louis-Michigan, High Point-Arkansas, Texas Tech-Alabama

• In second-round games featuring a mid-major team playing as a worse seed to a power conference team, the power conference teams are on a 63-11 SU and 46-27-1 ATS (63%) surge since 2013. In the opposite scenario, when the mid-major is the better-seeded team, they are on a 16-3 SU and 11-8 ATS (57.9%) run.
Qualifying Games for 2026 NCAAT Second Round: On these Power 5 teams: Michigan, Illinois, Arkansas, Arizona. On these mid-major teams: Gonzaga

Re: 3/21 Statistical Advantages
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Top Daily Head-to-Head Series NBA Betting Trends

(501) OKLAHOMA CITY at (502) WASHINGTON
* Over the total has converted in all eight matchups between OKC and WSH since the start of 2022
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): OKC-WSH (o/u at 231.5)

* OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-2 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games with Washington as well
Trend Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-20.5 at WSH)

(503) MEMPHIS at (504) CHARLOTTE
* Favorites are 7-1 SU and ATS in the last eight of the MEM-CHA non-conference set
Trend Match (PLAY): CHARLOTTE (-17.5 vs MEM)

(505) LA LAKERS at (506) ORLANDO
* Underdogs are 9-8 SU and 14-3 ATS in the LAL-ORL cross-country series since the start of 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): ORLANDO (+2.5 vs LAL)

(507) CLEVELAND at (508) NEW ORLEANS
* CLEVELAND is 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven matchups with New Orleans
Trend Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (-4.5 at NOP)

(509) MIAMI at (510) HOUSTON
* MIAMI is on an extended 15-3-1 ATS run in their last 19 games with Houston
Trend Match (PLAY): MIAMI (+1.5 at HOU)

(511) INDIANA at (512) SAN ANTONIO
* SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings with Indiana
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN ANTONIO (-18.5 vs IND)

(513) GOLDEN STATE at (514) ATLANTA
* ATLANTA has won and covered the last six times Golden State has come to town
Trend Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (-10.5 vs GSW)

(515) LA CLIPPERS at (516) DALLAS
* Favorites are 7-1 SU and ATS in the last seven of the Clippers-Mavs series in Dallas
Trend Match (PLAY): LA CLIPPERS (-6.5 at DAL)

(517) PHILADELPHIA at (518) UTAH
* Underdogs are on a 2-4 SU but 6-0 ATS surge in the PHI-UTA non-conference set
Trend Match (PLAY): UTAH (+6.5 vs PHI)

(519) MILWAUKEE at (520) PHOENIX
* Favorites are 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS in the last 15 of the Bucks-Suns series
Trend Match (PLAY): PHOENIX (-11.5 vs MIL)

Re: 3/21 Statistical Advantages
FREAK #942869 03/21/26 05:19 PM
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2025-26 College basketball
NCAA Tournament
Saturday’s games
Michigan (-12.5) vs Saint Louis (@ Buffalo)
Michigan (32-3)
Wolverines won 18 of their last 20 games.
Last three years, #1-seeds are 7-4 ATS in 2nd round games.
Michigan has #7 eFG% in country, #3 eFG% defense.

Wolverines played 8 guys Thursday, none more than 27:00.
Michigan is 16-3 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Michigan is 11-0 in non-conference games.

KenPom rating: 3
Tempo: 22
Experience: 47
Continuity: 116

Michigan is in NCAA’s for 8th time in 10 years; they made Sweet 16 last year.
Dusty May got Florida Atlantic to the Final Four in 2023

Saint Louis (29-5)
Billikens are 5-4 in last nine games (scored less than 70 in last 3 losses)
No Billikens played more than 28:00 in Thursday’s win.
Saint Louis has #2 eFG% and #1 eFG% defense.

Saint Louis is 13-1 in non-conference games.
Billikens are 7-2 vs teams in the top 100
Billikens are shooting 59.6% inside arc (#12)

KenPom rating: 32
Tempo: 19
Experience: 32
Continuity: 173

Saint Louis is in the NCAA’s for first time since 2019.

Michigan State (-4.5) vs Louisville (@ Buffalo)
Michigan State (26-7)
Michigan State is 11-1 in non-conference games.
In their last three losses, Spartans allowed 92-90-88 points.
Michigan State is best rebounding team in country.

Michigan State had stress-free win Thursday (up 20 at half)
Spartans are 10-6 vs teams in the top 50.
Last three years, #3-seeds are 0-6 ATS vs #6-seeds in second round.

KenPom rating: 9
Tempo: 238
Experience: 197
Continuity: 51

Last four years, Spartans are 2-2 SU in second round games.

Louisville (24-10)
Cardinals won four of their last five games.
Louisville played three guys 30:00+ in Thursday’s win
Check status on Louisville star Mikel Brown (missed last five games).

Cardinals shot 13-25 on arc vs USF Thursday; they have #13 eFG%.
Louisville is 9-9 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Louisville is 11-2 in non-conference games.

KenPom rating: 20
Tempo: 58
Experience: 16
Continuity: 183

Louisville made NCAA’s LY, for first time since 2019; their last tourney win was in 2017.

Duke (-11.5) vs TCU (@ Greenville, SC)
Duke (33-2)
Blue Devils won their last 12 games.
Duke was down 13 to Siena Thursday; lackluster effort.
Four Duke starters played 32+ minutes.

Duke has #19 eFG%, #12 eFG% defense in the country.
Duke is 14-2 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Blue Devils are shooting 60.8% inside arc (#8)

KenPom rating: 2
Tempo: 287
Experience: 310
Continuity: 169

Scheyer is 2-1 SU/ATS in second round games.

TCU (23-11)
Horned Frogs won 10 of their last 12 games.
TCU played two guys more than 29:00 in Thursday’s win.
TCU is 11-3 in non-conference games.

Horned Frogs force turnovers 19.4% of time (#35)
TCU is 8-6 vs teams in the top 50
Last three years, #1-seeds are 7-4 ATS in 2nd round games.

KenPom rating: 43
Tempo: 171
Experience: 100
Continuity: 191

Last 30 years, TCU is 0-2 in second round games.
In his career, Dixon is 3-7 in second round games.

Houston (-10.5) vs Texas A&M (@ Oklahoma City)
Houston (29-6)
Cougars won six of their last seven games.
Houston had easy win Thursday, beating Idaho by 31.
Houston is 13-1 in non-conference games (lost to Tennessee by 3)

Cougars force turnovers 20.8% of time (#12)
Last two years, #2-seeds are 6-2 ATS in second round.
Houston is 10-6 vs top 50 teams.

KenPom rating: 5
Tempo: 350
Experience: 92
Continuity: 44

Houston has made it to at least Sweet 16 in last six tournaments.

Texas A&M (22-11)
Aggies are 5-3 in their last eight games.
Only one Aggie played 25:00+ in Thursday’s win
Aggies are 7-8 vs teams in the top 50

A&M is 11-3 in non-conference games.
Aggies are shooting 36.2% on arc (#52)
37% of their points come on 3’s (#49)

KenPom rating: 34
Tempo: 39
Experience: 8
Continuity: 340

Texas A&M is in the NCAA’s for 4th year in row.
Houston beat Texas A&M 70-66 in pre-conference game two years ago.

Gonzaga (-6.5) vs Texas (@ Portland, OR)
Gonzaga (31-3)
Zags won nine of their last ten games.
Gonzaga played three starters 34:00+ in Thursday’s 73-64 win.
Gonzaga is 13-1 in non-conference games (lost by 40 to Michigan)

Gonzaga has #24 eFG% and #10 eFG% defense.
Zags are 7-2 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Last three years, #3-seeds are 4-0 ATS vs #11-seeds in second round.

KenPom rating: 12
Tempo: 114
Experience: 6
Continuity: 167

Gonzaga won six of last seven second round games.

Texas (20-14)
Texas won Tuesday in Dayton, here in Portland Thursday.
Longhorns played four starters 32:00+ Thursday.
Texas gets 24.1% of their points on foul line (#20)

Texas is 11-4 in non-conference games.
Longhorns are 8-11 vs teams in the top 50
Sixth year in row in NCAA’s for Texas (6-5)

KenPom rating: 33
Tempo: 212
Experience: 4
Continuity: 123

Sixth year in row in NCAA’s for Texas (6-5)

Illinois (-11.5) vs VCU (@ Greenville, SC)
Illinois (24-8)
Illinois is 5-5 in its last ten games (4/5 losses in OT).
Illini is the tallest team in the country.
Illini is 7-8 vs teams ranked in top 50 (1-5 last six).

Illinois is 10-2 in non-conference games.
50.6% of Illinois’ shots are 3’s (#13)
38.9% of their points come on 3’s (#25)
Illini is shooting 34.9% on arc (#127)

KenPom rating: 7
Tempo: 276
Experience: 130
Continuity: 70

In Underwood era, Illinois is 1-3 in second round games.

VCU (28-7)
VCU won seven in a row, 17 of last 18 games.
VCU was down 19 Thursday, rallied to beat North Carolina.
Rams played five guys 31:00+ Thursday.

VCU is 10-4 in non-conference games.
Rams are 2-5 vs teams in the top 50
VCU is shooting 36.9% on arc (#31); 43.6% of their shots are 3’s

KenPom rating: 42
Tempo: 117
Experience: 134
Continuity: 237

VCU is in second round for first time since 2016.

Vanderbilt (-1.5) vs Nebraska (@ Oklahoma City)
Vanderbilt (27-8)
Vanderbilt won five of its last six games.
Commodores played 7 guys (four of them 32:00+) in Thursday’s 78-68 win
Vandy was down 11 points early, outscored McNeese 40-33 in 2nd half

Vandy has #32 eFG% in the country.
Commodores are 10-8 vs teams ranked in top 50.
Vandy gets 21.5% of its points on foul line (#88)

KenPom rating: 11
Tempo: 101
Experience: 18
Continuity: 95

Vandy hasn’t been in the Sweet 16 since 2007.

Nebraska (27-6)
Nebraska is 5-2 in its last seven games.
Cornhuskers had easy win Thursday, beating Troy 76-47
Nebraska is 12-0 in non-conference games.

51.1% of Nebraska’s shots are 3-pointers (#9).
Nebraska gets 41.3% of its points on 3’s (#12)
Last three years, underdogs are 4-2 ATS #4-5 seed games in 2nd round.

KenPom rating: 13
Tempo: 224
Experience: 27
Continuity: 165

Thursday was Nebraska’s first-ever win (1-8) in an NCAA Tournament game.

Arkansas (-11.5) vs High Point (@ Portland, OR)
Arkansas (27-8)
Razorbacks won their last six games (two in overtime).
Arkansas played six guys Thursday in stress-free, 97-78 win
Razorbacks won SEC tournament Sunday afternoon.

Arkansas is 10-3 in non-league games (all 3 losses to top 10 teams)
Razorbacks are 16-0 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
Arkansas has #17 eFG% in country.

KenPom rating: 16
Tempo: 20
Experience: 140
Continuity: 90

Since 2021, Arkansas has two Sweet 16’s/two Elite 8’s.

High Point (31-4)
High Point has won its last 15 games.
Panthers were down 8 with 5:23 left Thursday, upset Wisconsin, 83-82.
High Point played four guys 30:00+ Thursday.

High Point’s losses were by 17-2-8-17 points.
Panthers force turnovers 21.7% of the time (#5)
Since 2017, #12-seeds are 0-9 SU/3-6 ATS in second round.
Heard that High Point’s NIL payroll is $4M, funded by one guy.

KenPom rating: 88
Tempo: 44
Experience: 36
Continuity: 260

High Point was in NCAA’s last year; they lost 75-63 to Purdue, as a 13-seed.


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