Idaho +23.5. Houston will definitely win convincingly, but do they really care about blowing out Idaho in the first round with national championship aspirations? I don't think so.

Hawaii +17

rainbow warriors have the size to hang with Arkansas
Arkansas big let down spot here will win but not by 20

Georgia Bulldogs -1.5
Saint Louis has lost four of their last eight games
Georgia is 3-1 straight up and against the spread in their last 4 games
Georgia averages 89.8 points per game, good for fifth in the nation
Georgia has player a more difficult schedule this year and are playing better heading into tournament

Nebraska -13

Troy doesn't have the size to match up with Nebraska inside and barring an outlier game from beyond the arc I think a motivated Nebraska team blows the doors off this Troy team and gets their first NCAA tournament win in school history.

Pho/Spurs over 227.5 My model is again 3 points higher than this line. Booker and green will get theirs for the Suns and the Spurs will continue to score. Vassell being off injury report is big, plus I have Fox and Castle having good games to go along with Wemby.

South Florida +4.5..-112…big loss for Louisville losing star guard Mikel Brown and his 18.2 ppg..3-3 their last 6,..South Florida has won 11 in a row…looking for close if not upset win to start the tournament

Siena +28 -112

Both teams are slow in pace with Siena ranking 359th in possession per game and Duke 277 in Tempo. Also without Foster, Duke has struggled to score, compared to with him on the court. Hope that with a slow pace, they can keep it within the number. Good luck

St Louis ML

This is more a play against Georgia who I think has been playing above expectation the last handful of games. I like St Louis here to move on to Round 2.

Wisconsin -10

Wisconsin is 7-3 straight up and ATS thier last 10 games.

Duke -27.5 and up to -30...lay it here, this could be a 40+ cover here as it comes down to how much 2H effort they want to put in...my PR# came 32 so I'm involved as you can see...GLA!

Charlotte Hornets - 4

Charlotte has won two straight over Orlando, holding them to an average of 101 points

Troy +13, Nebraska relies heavily on the 3 and Troy’s top 45 3 point defence will keep them close in this one

Hawaii +15.5

8th in the nation in defensive efficiency, play slow iso ball. Hope that means no blowout here

S Fla +4.5

I think S Fla hangs here they can score and play better defense than they get credit for but the loss of Brown for Louis is crucial to keeping this game close or even outright upset by S Fla

Look have had horrible luck trying to fade this team ATS but once again gonna fade Duke and go with sienna +28. I think with how slow both teams play this will be just too many points with a few little possessions and with Duke nursing injuries to their starters, look for them to be conservative in the second half and for sienna to hang within or back door this number

After a big Miami O win outright I love South Florida. They are on a roll winning 11 in a row. Louisvilles pen best player out. 7.5 to 4.5. Another moneyline winner here!

Troy St +13
Since Feb. 1st Nebraska's offense is ranked #132 in adjusted offensive efficiency, combine that with the slow pace of play expected in this one, I see Troy keeping it within the number

Vandy -12

A lot of points but a big step up in class for McNeese State. The Southland was not as good as in the past. Vandy finished 4th in the stacked 16 team SEC. They finished 10-4 on the year. McNeese has been here before but they won’t surprise a team as good a Vanderbilt.

CBB: Nebraska -13

Nebraska is one of the best defensive teams in the country ranking #7 in adj defensive rating and excel in forcing turnovers.
Troy ranks 164th in turnover %, and 275th in non-steal turnover %.
Since 2004 in round 1, Big 10 conf teams are 61.4% ATS, and 62.4% ATS as a double-digit favorite.