Caro -3

The Eagles are a mess QB hurt RB hurt WR’S hurt OL hurt it will be a challenge to move the ball even against Caro plus the Eagle defense well u just never know when they will show up and with offense in shambles I don’t look for any more than going thru the motions for the defense on the other hand this Caro team has been a surprise especially on offense with some of the teams they beat and the pts they scored to do I think their defense will play well enough here to get more stops than Phil will nd I look for a 7-10 pt victory for Caro so let’s lay the pts with Caro

Jags under 43.5 this is the jags second home just wanna get the win and get out most overseas games go under take the under

Bears ML -120, With Caleb Williams back I don’t see the falcons and penix being able to keep up offensively with the firepower of this Chicago team especially with how well Chicago’s defence has been playing post week 1 holding 3 of the last 4 opponents to under 250 yards

New England Patriots -7
Patriots have won both home games this season by a combined 45 points
Patriots QB Maye on fire having thrown for 643 yards and 7 TDs in his last two games
Patriots defense only allowing 18.8 points per game on average
Jets are currently ranked 26th in total yards per game and 27th in points
Jets offense will be without running back Breece Hall
Jets QB Smith should have difficulty against the Patriots 4th ranked pass defense

Jets +7.5. The pats have definitely stepped up their level of play with Maye coming into form, but I think this is just too many points for a jets team that has proven to stay in games against better teams this season. On top of that, this being a afc east game in which both teams are familiar with each other I think the jets will make this one closer than people think.

Houston +2.5

They finally won their 1st game last time up and I see them making it 2 in a row. They arguably have one of the best defenses in football and they showed it last week. I know it was against Tennessee but they looked like everyone expected from them this year. Even though they are 1-4 they are a couple plays and stops away from being 4-1. 3 of their 4 losses have been by a total of 11 points. Jacksonville was lucky to get the W last week against a banged up Philadelphia team. Houston needs this game and I think they will come out and win it. The line says a lot here too, 1-4 vs 4-1 and it's a best pick em. Take Houston in London

Colts -6.5: Indianapolis has the advantage against a struggling Titans team and should be able to control the game if its offense gets going early. If Tennessee continues to struggle offensively, the Colts have a good chance to win by more than a touchdown.

When Nico Collins plays, Houston is averaging over 29 points per game and CJ Stroud looks extremely comfortable under center. Jacksonville should find success against a Texans defense that could be without multiple key players in the secondary.

houston texans over 42.5

Packers -1.5
Cowboys are awful on D.
21st against the pass, 30th in overall yards given up..
Last against the run and last against 3rd down conversion
Total domination by the Pack

Steelers -2.5..-115…Rodgers and Steelers offense been hot averaging nearly 30 a game…Bucs did beat Cowboys last week because of Bucky Irving’s 165 rushing yds…won’t get that vs Steelers rush defense…this will be the game that shows how much Tampa Bay misses Baker Mayfield

Panthers/Eagles OVER 39

The eagles are a mess injury wise and that’s why their dogs and the total is so low. Hurts and Saquon are OUT but offensively, I think the Eagles can rally around Tanner McKee. He’s started two games in his career and he’s thrown 5 TDs and only 1 INT. The Eagles also will get Devonta Smith back. Lastly when they have the ball, the Panther’s defense are pretty bad this year giving up 399 yards and 27.3 ppg. I think McKee can contribute to the scoring. He’ll also have a week of knowing he’s the starter and not thrust into the game in game.

On offense Carolina is 2nd in total yards at 421 yards a game. They also average 30.3 ppg so they should be able to contribute too. I’ll take the drop in total to 39 and take a chance on the over.

New England -7

New England is 8-2 straight up and ATS against the Jets the last 10 games played against each other. NE is also 4-1 ATS this year.

TB + 2.5 and TB money line + 120 ....something is fishy with this spread..3-2 Pitt against a 1-4 TB and only a 2.5 spread? TB is coming off their first win and Jalon Daniels is making his third start. and showing signs that he isn't that bad.Pitt has been up and down on offense. TB has a good chance of winning this game

Carolina -3
Eagles has a couple of good players out.RB Barkley is out and QB Jalen Hurts is out

Chief -8

Tailing Joe Duffy here... Chargers have looked like absolute garbage through the first third of the season and the Chiefs are undefeated. I'm on Kansas City here to win by two scores. Two and a half unit play for me.

Eagles +3
When the world thinks you have no chance its time take them. Eagles banged up to the hilt but a rowdy Eagles fan base at home can make the difference

always a lot more to these picks then the write-ups .. everything I do is from scratch and not others points


Belmont
R7 #8 Seekers Hope (8-1)

Drop and switch to Pratt may be good signs he'll handle the distance


Belmont
R8 #4 Dover Street (6-1)
Might have needed last and like the European back form



Keeneland
R2 #9 Spun Up (4-1)
Surface switch , drop and 3rd off the layoff .. good level for her


Keeneland
R4 #3 Lookism (12-1)
Legit excuses for bad races .. makes 5th career start and best effort puts him right with this group



more of Keeneland later

Las Vegas+4.5

Bills off a big road win off short rest an angle angle that has produced 67% straight up losers in that role. Also the distractions of 10 days on the road, much less in LA and Vegas catches up to Buffalo today.

GB -1.5
Packers will ride momentum from last week and the cowgirls are going know where.
Pack 28-17