Miami +4.5 -106

Since 2019, teams that lost SU but covered ATS and are favored in their next game are 34-62 ATS over all and 9-29 ATS when their opponent is within the division. Good luck.

Steelers -3

Pitt is 11-0 ATS vs NFC South last 11 and just keep finding ways to win now Pitt has the #9 total defense in the NFL and NO can score averaging around 25 pts a game but the key to this game is if the Saints defense can stop Pitt as they are ranked 29th in total defense and they give up 29 pts a game so with Pitt #8 vs the pass and NO inability to stop anyone the Pitt offense should control this game and Rodgers should have a good day so I will take the Steelers and lay the 3

Rams -3, I expect the rams to play their A game in this one after an abysmal showing last week against the cardinals and should have success moving the ball against a bottom 5 raiders defence

Packers/Lions OVER 55

I kick myself for not getting the 53.5 which was available the other day. But with Detroit, you got the ultimate set up for OVER games. Their offense is ranked first in PPG at 32.8. And their defense is horrendous ranked last 32nd in total yards and they give up 29.6 ppg. Detroit has the best RB IMO in the game with Jahmyr Gibbs. He assures defenses have to bring guys up and that sets up Jared Goff who's been awesome with 12 TDs and 0 INTs. Jordan Love hasn't been too bad hitting his WRs Watson and Golden. Kraft is also a nice target. Too many weapons in this game.

Browns Titans u 36.5 ttl points..-103..2 of the worse offenses in the league Browns avg 17 pts per game..Titans avg 14 a game…both teams on the bottom or near the bottom in every offensive category..ttl yds, passing yds and rushing yds…going under 36.5

Saints +3 The Saints has been in France already for a week having practices getting ready for the game. I’ll see the saints win this game straight up take the Saints +3.

Seahawks -3. I think we’re gonna get a big bounce back from Seattle off the mini bye from the Thursday night game. They will come back focused and ready to take on a chiefs team that really hasn’t beaten anyone that great so far this season and are overvalued

Minnesota -6.5

Minnesota is 4-1 ATS this year, they are 10-0 straight up their last 10 games and 8-2 ATS the last 10 games.

Steelers v Saints o39.5
When I saw this open at 43.5, I felt that was already low for this game. Saints are scoring an average of 25.3 points per game while allowing an average of 29.7 per game, while the Steelers are scoring an average of 22.8 points per game while allowing a lower 21.3 per game.

LA Rams -3. They are the better team and look to get a bad taste out of their mouth. Arizona is over valued because of last week

Meant to say Raiders not Arizona !!

Denver -4 Bo Nix will get back on track today and Cardinals let down after last week's win

Colts at Vikings | Colts +7 -120

Public on the Vikings
Colts are 6-0 against the spread since the 2024 season after allowing 150 or fewer passing yards in their last game

Pitt Under 21.5 1H
Pitt has been under machine in 1H games while this game in Grance and teams both off wins will start conservative. shough and Rodgers utilize ahort passing games and control clock

Vikings -6.5
Take the Vikings in a battle of terrible offenses
Colts 22nd in total yards, passing yards and 16th running the ball
Plus…they are in talks of trading Taylor
Vikings have the pieces in place with Murray, Jefferson and Taylor, now all are healthy
Vikings D is legit, 1st in points given up and 1st in 3rd down conversion
Take the Vikings

Viking -6.5
Viking are at home, and Viking defence is playing great.Viking QB K. Murray is getting better each game he plays

Seattle -3

I love this spot for Seattle. A 3-3 team favored by 3 over an undefeated 5-0 Kansas City. The trap has been set and the public went for it. I'm seeing 89% of the public is on KC tonight. Home team in a big spot on prime time and the public is going the other way heavy... take Seattle in what may be an easier win than projected. I'll go against those public numbers any day

Titans ML +110 (DK)

Tennessee's defense just carried them to a win in Indy with six sacks and three takeaways, and Simmons and Jermaine Johnson should feast on a Browns line that's already given up 24 sacks on Watson. Cleveland's banged up on D too, with Mike Hall out and Ward, Delpit and Quincy Williams all questionable. Lowest total on the board, so it's a coin flip game, and I'll take the home dog at plus money.

ATL ML (+130) Penix has another game under his belt. I look for them to get back on track offensively. SF health issues starting. Without Evans, they only scored 3 points in the 2H against a bad WAS defense. Add in the short week with coast to coast travel, this is a bad spot for SF.