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NFLX Systems’ Plays
#966183 08/21/26 01:56 AM
Joined: May 2024
Posts: 25
Likes: 1
Southwick, MA USA
lynchda Offline OP
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Southwick, MA USA
I’ve researched a number of preseason systems based on results back to the 2021 season which was the first year that the NFL went to a 3-week preseason.

I then weighted the results such that each previous year’s results are worth 90% of the subsequent year. So, 2025’s are worth 1.0, 2024 0.9, 2023 0.81 and so on.

I will post and track the results here.

Play on Team off a Win by 20+ Points

SF/LAC +1’

5-year record is 14-6 (70%), weighted is 11.9-4.5 (72.6%).

It has gone 8-1 over the last two years.

Re: NFLX Systems’ Plays
lynchda #966184 08/21/26 01:57 AM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 281,991
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Time to play the Game
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What is the actual play and welcome back after a few years away!


A post a day and your access will stay!






Re: NFLX Systems’ Plays
lynchda #966185 08/21/26 02:00 AM
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 281,991
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Time to play the Game
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LAC is now -1 to -1.5 I'm assuming they are the play. +1.5 long gone!


A post a day and your access will stay!






Re: NFLX Systems’ Plays
FREAK #966278 08/21/26 04:12 PM
Joined: May 2024
Posts: 25
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Southwick, MA USA
lynchda Offline OP
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Joined: May 2024
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Southwick, MA USA
Yes, they were the play. I got the +1.5 earlier in the week. But, a bad loss either way.

For Friday 8/21:

Play on Team off a Win by 20+ Points (0-1)

GB/DEN -6

5-year record is 14-6 (70%), weighted is 11.9-4.5 (72.6%).
It has gone 8-1 over the last two years.


If a Team Scored Less than 10 Pts then Play the Over in their Next Game (1-0)

This one hit last night with the LV/HOU over (but I didn’t post or play that one – bummer).

GB/DEN ov 41

5-year record is 21-14 (60%), weighted is 17.3-11.2 (60.6%)
It has gone 10-6 over the last two years.


Play on Away Team off a Double-Digit Loss (0-0-1)

This also applied to the Raiders last night, which I graded as a push as my primary book, BetOnline, went to LV -2 right before kick.

+6 GB/DEN

5-Year: 20-9 (69.0%) Weighted: 16.4-7.0 (70.0%) 7-1 last 2 years


Play on Team of S/U Loss if Dog of 3.5 or More

+6 GB/DEN

5-Year: 21-13 (61.8%) Weighted: 16.6-10.0 (62.3%) 6-3 last 2 years


So conflicting trends on the side in GB/DEN so I have not played anything on that game yet. I did play over 41.

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