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 NFLX Systems’ Plays
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Joined: May 2024
Posts: 31 Likes: 1 Southwick, MA USA
JV Squad
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OP
JV Squad
Joined: May 2024
Posts: 31 Likes: 1 Southwick, MA USA |
I’ve researched a number of preseason systems based on results back to the 2021 season which was the first year that the NFL went to a 3-week preseason.
I then weighted the results such that each previous year’s results are worth 90% of the subsequent year. So, 2025’s are worth 1.0, 2024 0.9, 2023 0.81 and so on.
I will post and track the results here.
Play on Team off a Win by 20+ Points
SF/LAC +1’
5-year record is 14-6 (70%), weighted is 11.9-4.5 (72.6%).
It has gone 8-1 over the last two years.
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Re: NFLX Systems’ Plays
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 282,064 Likes: 3048 Time to play the Game
Owner
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Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 282,064 Likes: 3048 Time to play the Game |
What is the actual play and welcome back after a few years away!
A post a day and your access will stay!
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Re: NFLX Systems’ Plays
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Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 282,064 Likes: 3048 Time to play the Game
Owner
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Owner
Joined: Dec 2000
Posts: 282,064 Likes: 3048 Time to play the Game |
LAC is now -1 to -1.5 I'm assuming they are the play. +1.5 long gone!
A post a day and your access will stay!
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Re: NFLX Systems’ Plays
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Joined: May 2024
Posts: 31 Likes: 1 Southwick, MA USA
JV Squad
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OP
JV Squad
Joined: May 2024
Posts: 31 Likes: 1 Southwick, MA USA |
Yes, they were the play. I got the +1.5 earlier in the week. But, a bad loss either way.
For Friday 8/21:
Play on Team off a Win by 20+ Points (0-1)
GB/DEN -6
5-year record is 14-6 (70%), weighted is 11.9-4.5 (72.6%).
It has gone 8-1 over the last two years.
If a Team Scored Less than 10 Pts then Play the Over in their Next Game (1-0)
This one hit last night with the LV/HOU over (but I didn’t post or play that one – bummer).
GB/DEN ov 41
5-year record is 21-14 (60%), weighted is 17.3-11.2 (60.6%)
It has gone 10-6 over the last two years.
Play on Away Team off a Double-Digit Loss (0-0-1)
This also applied to the Raiders last night, which I graded as a push as my primary book, BetOnline, went to LV -2 right before kick.
+6 GB/DEN
5-Year: 20-9 (69.0%) Weighted: 16.4-7.0 (70.0%) 7-1 last 2 years
Play on Team of S/U Loss if Dog of 3.5 or More
+6 GB/DEN
5-Year: 21-13 (61.8%) Weighted: 16.6-10.0 (62.3%) 6-3 last 2 years
So conflicting trends on the side in GB/DEN so I have not played anything on that game yet. I did play over 41.
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