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KC-9 TB doesn’t have the horses to keep up in this race

Chiefs -9.

Extremely risky play as Baker Mayfield can guide any offense, but The lack of healthy targets will probably lead to a couple of turnovers.

Patrick Mahomes o1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-120)

The Bucs D gives up the 6th most passing TDs on the year. It won't be hard for Patty to throw 2.

Gonz ml should be a close game but with the best team gonz comes out on top

This is how I'm playing swing state wagering. Obviously there's no handicapping or trends I can post. It's all about current polling and just a historical overview.

I'll put this out front for transparency, I'm a Trump supporter and I've been a State Delegate for Trump.

I've looked at this objectively and I have a few thoughts that will sum up how to make some money.

Pretty much it looks like it's going to come down to Pennsylvania on who wins the election. I don't have any scenario where the winner of Pennsylvania loses.

I've followed odds for weeks at Bovada, Everygame, Sportsbook and Betonline.

My action is spread amongst all four of these books based on odds offered. I'll just say in advance I have a lot of money invested in this and stand to win or lose quite a bit.

So here's my plays for you...... I'm not telling you to over bet but take a normal position.

AZ -320 at Sportsbook lines range to -400
GA -225 at Sportsbook lines range to -250
NC -205 at Betonline lines range to -230
PA -125 at Bovada lines range to -140
NV -160 at Bovada lines range to -175

For President Trump at Bovada -150 lines range to -160

With the President bet, you can do one of a few things, you can lay the line for him/Republican to win the President or you can just double up on PA at a lower price. The reason I say this goes back to my opener that PA is going to be the piece of the puzzle that will determine it all.

There is a prop I posted in another area regarding Trump and how many swing states he will win. At the time, I had a good inclination he could win them all. While I think it's still a possibility, I believe the right play would be to bet on 4 or 5 of the states.

WI and MI are potential issues right now. if you toss in PA, that leaves you at 4 but if PA goes to Trump then it's 5.

At 4 you get +500
At 5 you get +425
At 6 you get +500

That's the way I'd play it equal wager on the three gets you profit.

Bucs +9
Will be a low scoring close game

Shoot out in KC rain stops before game time OVER a LOCK

NBA

Utah

Please 🙏 they need a win

Today is that day they will get there 1 win I am sure 💯

TB/KC UNDER 46

Like yesterday's Det/GB game where I took under, this game is weather related. Supposed to be a storm coming through but not as bad as the GB game yesterday. Regardless, I think both teams will pound the run and try to play defense and field position.

College of Charleston Over

Just the pace of play will lead to points...

NBA Charlotte Hornets +9.5

T-wolves have not looked great to start the year and 9.5 points is too many. In six games this year Minnesota’s biggest win has been 11 points. Even if they get up and cruise to victory I see the Hornets coming back to cover the large number.

Clippers -3.5....Clippers winless at home..Defense should hold the Spurs down and I think they can cover the small number for their first home win

Kareem Hunt last 3 games:

21, 22 and 27 carries

Kareem Hunt over 18 carries

Tampa KC under. Prime time under! Chiefs 2nd half defense is legit and with baker having no receivers should keep the ball on the ground with the clock running

Since 2014,
AP top 10 CBB teams
in season opener as a -26 or greater favorite
are 20-6 ATS.

Duke -31.5
UNC -27.5
Iowa St -46
Kansas -27
Alabama -27
Arizona -34

I think that’s all of them for Today

TB +9 and the Over 45.5

I believe TB can keep it close enough. KC is 0-2-1 against the spread of 6.5 or more ( KC -8.5 against Raiders lost, KC -7 against Chargers push, KC -6.5 against Cinn lost ) I think 9 is way to much yes TB is without some wr's but Mayfield still put up 300 yards and 3 touchdowns last week. The rain should stop or it will be some light rain i think it will be a somewhat back and forth kinda game not saying a shoot out but i believe it will go over 45.5. It's like 11.5 per quarter and just 23 pts for each team isn't out of the normal to get.

under kc 45.5

Eileen, towards the under on this game I looked at four Kansas City to slow down the, using their short passes and running game, Ashley Kansas City defense holding Tampa Bay to field goals at most

Tampa Bay +9

Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS the last 6 game against KC. I think Tampa Bay keeps it close.

Bucks/Cavs Under 228.5

These teams just played a few days ago. The total has also dropped 3 points with huge public splits on the over! Give me the under with the reverse line movement angle!

NBA New Orleans -2.5
New Orleans is 8-2 in last 10 meetings.
Home team has the edge in this one